Fact or fiction: The DNC’s third debate

Somewhere in between unending questions about health care policy and an inexplicable reference to a record player, the candidates made some claims at last night’s Democratic debate. Factcheckers threw some of these claims against the wall to see if they’d still stick. Here’s a rundown of what they found, starting with a few fact checks from Big If True.

Beto O’Rourke said that “in Texas, a 5-year-old child in kindergarten is five times as likely to be disciplined or suspended or expelled based on the color of their skin.”

This is partially true, according to a study from Texans Care for Children. That research found that black elementary school students were five times more likely to receive an out-of-school suspension and twice as likely to receive an in-school suspension.

Cory Booker said that “we have a criminal justice system that is so racially biased, we have more African-Americans under criminal supervision today than all the slaves in 1850.”

According to PolitiFact, the 1850 Census reported 3.2 million slaves. The number of black inmates in state and federal prison combined with the number of black Americans in the probation system is more than one million people. I didn’t quickly find figures for county jail inmates by race, but even if we added that in there, it would likely fall short of 3.2 million.

Five years ago, PolitiFact reviewed a similar statement that claimed more black men are in prison, jail, or the probation system than male slaves in 1850. PolitiFact found that true, but the comparison only stands when it’s limited to men.

Sen. Bernie Sanders: “Fifty million of those people (on private insurance) lose their private insurance every year when they quit their jobs or they go unemployed or their employer changes their insurance policy.”

PolitiFact rated this mostly false. That figure – 50 million people – exceeds the number of people who are uninsured.

Sanders: 500,000 Americans are going bankrupt because of medical bills.

Sanders has used this figure in the past, and it became the subject of a contentious Washington Post fact check. He got the number from a study in the American Journal of Public Health, which estimated that 530,000 families go bankrupt from medical bills. Some factcheckers rated this incorrect, concluding that medical bills are a factor that led to the families’ bankruptcies, but not the only cause.

However, it’s still a cause. The Sanders campaign and two doctors behind the American Journal of Public Health contested the Washington Post’s fact check finding this statement false. Like a bundle of the Post’s fact checks this campaign season, it seemed to come down to semantics and the whims of the factchecker. Do you think a contributing factor caused something to happen, or does it just count if it’s the one and only cause? It’s not up to factcheckers to answer that question for their readers.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren: “Insurance companies last year sucked $23 billion in profits out of the system.”

A report from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners found that health insurance companies had net earnings of $23.4 billion, a $7.3 billion increase from the year before.

Julián Castro to Joe Biden: “I know that the problem with your plan is that it leaves 10 million people uncovered.”

The New York Times said this was mostly true, based on Biden’s estimate that his plan would cover 97 percent of Americans.

Contact Big If True editor Mollie Bryant at 405-990-0988 or bryant@bigiftrue.org. Follow her on Facebook and Twitter.

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